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How many deportations will occur under Trump's administration in 2025?
4
Resolution / Starting Odds
Less than 500,000 • 25%
500,000 to 1 million • 25%
1 million to 2 million • 25%
More than 2 million • 25%
Reports from the Department of Homeland Security
Story
Trump to Invoke Alien Enemies Act, Launch Largest Deportation Program with Ten Years Jail for Repeat Offenders
Oct 24, 2024, 10:04 PM
Former President Donald Trump has announced plans to invoke the Alien Enemies Act of 1798 to target and dismantle migrant criminal networks operating on American soil. Trump has also called for the death penalty for any migrant who kills an American citizen or law enforcement officer. Additionally, he plans to launch the largest deportation program in American history immediately upon taking office, aiming to rescue towns across America and imprison or deport criminals. Repeat offenders would face ten years jail with no possibility of parole. Trump emphasized the need to restore the sovereign borders of the United States and put cartels out of business.
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Similar markets
Over 1 million • 25%
500,000 to 1 million • 25%
100,000 to 500,000 • 25%
Under 100,000 • 25%
Less than 500,000 • 25%
500,000 to 1 million • 25%
1 million to 1.5 million • 25%
More than 1.5 million • 25%
Less than 500,000 • 25%
500,000 to 1 million • 25%
1 million to 2 million • 25%
More than 2 million • 25%
Less than 500,000 • 25%
500,000 to 1 million • 25%
1 million to 1.5 million • 25%
More than 1.5 million • 25%
Less than 100,000 • 25%
100,000 to 200,000 • 25%
200,001 to 500,000 • 25%
More than 500,000 • 25%
Less than 100,000 • 25%
100,000 to 200,000 • 25%
200,001 to 300,000 • 25%
More than 300,000 • 25%
MS-13 • 25%
Venezuelan gangs • 25%
Other gangs • 25%
No significant deportations • 25%
Less than 100,000 • 25%
100,000 to 500,000 • 25%
500,001 to 1,000,000 • 25%
More than 1,000,000 • 25%
Less than 100,000 • 25%
100,000 to 500,000 • 25%
500,001 to 1,000,000 • 25%
More than 1,000,000 • 25%
Fully implemented • 25%
Partially implemented • 25%
Not implemented • 25%
Halted by legal challenges • 25%