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How many A16 chips will TSMC's Arizona Fab 21 produce by December 31, 2024?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Less than 10,000 units • 25%
10,000 to 50,000 units • 25%
50,001 to 100,000 units • 25%
More than 100,000 units • 25%
Official announcements from TSMC or Apple, industry reports
Story
TSMC Begins Production of Apple A16 Chips at Phase 1 of Fab 21 in Arizona
Sep 17, 2024, 10:00 PM
TSMC has commenced production of Apple's A16 processors at its Arizona foundry, marking a significant milestone for both Apple and the US semiconductor industry. This development is part of the broader initiative under the CHIPS Act to bring chip manufacturing back to the United States. The A16 processors, which are two generations old, are being produced in small but notable quantities at Phase 1 of TSMC's Fab 21. The Arizona plant has achieved yields that are nearly on par with those in Taiwan, with expectations of reaching full yield parity soon. Additionally, Apple has locked in the initial production run for TSMC's cutting-edge 2nm chip technology, which is planned for the iPhone 17 Pro, potentially launching in 2025.
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Below expectations • 25%
Meets expectations • 25%
Exceeds expectations • 25%
Significantly exceeds expectations • 25%
500,000 wafers or more • 25%
300,000 to 499,999 wafers • 25%
100,000 to 299,999 wafers • 25%
Less than 100,000 wafers • 25%
One • 25%
Two • 25%
Three • 25%
None • 25%
Less than 10% • 25%
10% to 25% • 25%
25% to 50% • 25%
More than 50% • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
90% or higher • 25%
80% to 89% • 25%
70% to 79% • 25%
Below 70% • 25%
Less than 5,000 • 25%
5,000 to 10,000 • 25%
10,001 to 15,000 • 25%
More than 15,000 • 25%