Loading...
Market
Outcome of Azerbaijan's legal actions against Russia over plane crash by end of 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Settlement • 25%
Court ruling in favor of Azerbaijan • 25%
Court ruling in favor of Russia • 25%
No legal action • 25%
Court rulings or settlement announcements reported by international news agencies
Story
Aliyev: Azerbaijan Airlines Plane Crashed Near Aktau After Russian Ground Fire, 38 Dead
Dec 29, 2024, 11:54 AM
Azerbaijan's President Ilham Aliyev announced that the Azerbaijan Airlines (AZAL) passenger plane that crashed near Kazakhstan's city of Aktau was heavily damaged due to ground fire while flying over Russian airspace near Grozny. He stated that the aircraft's fuselage was riddled with holes, dismissing theories that it had hit a flock of birds. The plane became uncontrollable due to electronic warfare and crashed during an attempted emergency landing on Wednesday, resulting in the deaths of 38 people. Aliyev emphasized that the plane was not intentionally shot down by Russia but expressed disappointment over false narratives from Russia regarding the cause of the crash.
View original story
Similar markets
No legal action taken • 25%
Court ruling in favor of Azerbaijan Airlines • 25%
Settlement reached • 25%
Court ruling against Azerbaijan Airlines • 25%
Ongoing negotiations • 25%
Partial compensation agreed • 25%
Full compensation agreed • 25%
No compensation agreed • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
No legal action • 25%
File lawsuit against Russia • 25%
Seek compensation through international courts • 25%
Diplomatic resolution • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
International mediation • 25%
Bilateral agreement • 25%
Continued tensions • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Russian air defense systems responsible • 25%
Technical failure of aircraft • 25%
Russian air defense responsible • 25%
Pilot error • 25%
Other cause • 25%
Mechanical failure • 25%
