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Market
Consequences for Greene post-motion
3
Marjorie Taylor Greene•House•Mike Johnson•Greene•Johnson•House Democratic•Democratic•Democrats•Congress
Resolution / Starting Odds
Increased support within GOP • 25%
Isolation within GOP • 25%
Neutral impact • 25%
Expulsion or sanctions by GOP • 25%
Party statements, news analysis, and public opinion polls
Story
Democrats to Block Greene's March Motion to Oust Speaker Johnson Amid His Commitment to Role
Apr 30, 2024, 07:38 PM
Representative Marjorie Taylor Greene (R-Ga.) has intensified her efforts to remove House Speaker Mike Johnson (R-La.) from his position, despite facing limited support from her GOP colleagues. Greene's resolution to call a vote to oust Johnson, introduced in late March, has been met with significant opposition from House Democratic leaders, who have pledged to block the motion and ensure Johnson retains his speakership. This Democratic support comes as a response to Greene's accusations of Johnson making compromises with Democrats, which she perceives as betrayals of conservative values. Johnson responded by emphasizing the necessity of doing what he believes is right for a functioning Congress. The Democrats have also stated that upon completion of their national security work, they will vote to table Greene's motion. The situation has escalated tensions within the House, highlighting deep partisan divides and the challenges Johnson faces in maintaining his leadership role.
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Similar markets
Greene gains a new leadership role • 20%
Greene faces formal sanctions • 30%
No significant change in Greene's status • 50%
Retains seat with increased support • 33%
Retains seat with decreased support • 33%
Loses seat or resigns • 33%
Resignation • 25%
Censure • 25%
No significant consequences • 25%
Increased political support • 25%
Supportive of Greene's actions • 30%
Neutral towards Greene's actions • 30%
Opposed to Greene's actions • 40%
Increased support • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Decreased support • 25%
Censure or formal reprimand • 25%
Increase in GOP internal divisions • 25%
Strengthening of GOP unity • 25%
No change in GOP unity • 25%
Public backlash against GOP • 25%
Strengthened political position • 25%
Weakened political position • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Increased public scrutiny • 25%
Significantly negative impact • 25%
Moderate negative impact • 25%
No significant impact • 25%
Positive impact • 25%
Boost in popularity for the committee • 25%
Drop in popularity for the committee • 25%
No significant change in popularity • 25%
Increased polarization and controversy • 25%
Strengthened unity • 33%
Continued division • 33%
Increased fragmentation • 34%
Broad Republican support • 25%
Broad Democratic opposition • 25%
Mixed response within both parties • 25%
Other • 25%
Increase in GOP seats • 25%
Decrease in GOP seats • 25%
No significant change in GOP seats • 25%
Significant lawsuits impacting election outcomes • 25%