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Political Consequences for AG Garland Post-Contempt Vote
5
House of Representatives•Merrick Garland•Congress•Mike Johnson•House•Garland•Biden•Johnson•Tom Fitton•Judicial Watch
Resolution / Starting Odds
Resignation • 25%
Censure • 25%
No significant consequences • 25%
Increased political support • 25%
Major news outlets and political analysts
Story
House to Vote on Contempt of Congress Against AG Garland Over Biden Tapes, Expected to Pass
May 22, 2024, 02:13 PM
The House of Representatives is preparing to hold a vote on holding Attorney General Merrick Garland in contempt of Congress. Speaker Mike Johnson stated that the House GOP is working on the contempt referral, which is expected to come to the floor soon. The move is aimed at compelling Garland to provide audio tapes of a Biden interview, which the committees need for their legislative work. Johnson emphasized that the action is not politically motivated and expressed confidence that the measure will pass the House handily. Tom Fitton of Judicial Watch noted that Congress has inherent contempt authority and can enforce it directly.
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Similar markets
Boost in popularity for the committee • 25%
Drop in popularity for the committee • 25%
No significant change in popularity • 25%
Increased polarization and controversy • 25%
AG Garland resigns • 33%
AG Garland remains in position with no further action • 33%
Further legal or congressional actions are taken • 33%
Increased scrutiny on Biden • 33%
Status quo maintained • 33%
Decreased scrutiny on Biden • 34%
Increase in approval • 33%
Decrease in approval • 33%
No significant change • 34%
Garland resigns • 25%
Garland releases the audio • 25%
Garland challenges the resolution legally • 25%
No significant action taken by Garland • 25%
Increase in GOP internal divisions • 25%
Strengthening of GOP unity • 25%
No change in GOP unity • 25%
Public backlash against GOP • 25%
Garland Resigns • 33%
Garland Complies • 33%
No Further Action • 34%
Biden administration issues statement supporting Garland • 25%
Republican-led committees launch further investigations • 25%
Democratic-led committees call for end of investigations • 25%
Other significant political actions or statements • 25%
Garland held in contempt • 33%
Garland not held in contempt • 33%
Vote postponed • 33%
AG Garland complies with subpoenas • 25%
AG Garland faces fines • 25%
AG Garland faces imprisonment • 25%
No significant action taken • 25%
Increased support within GOP • 25%
Isolation within GOP • 25%
Neutral impact • 25%
Expulsion or sanctions by GOP • 25%
