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Changes in Russian Security Strategy by End of 2024
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Russian•Vladimir Putin•Putin•Andrey Belousov•Sergei Shoigu•Ministry of Defense•Shoigu•Russian Security Council•Nikolai Patrushev•Ukraine•Russia
Resolution / Starting Odds
Significant changes • 33%
Minor changes • 33%
No changes • 33%
Analysis of official military or government documents, statements by officials
Story
Putin Appoints Belousov as Defense Minister, Shoigu as Security Council Secretary
May 12, 2024, 06:36 PM
Russian President Vladimir Putin has initiated a significant reshuffle in the country's defense and security leadership. Putin has proposed Andrey Belousov, previously the First Deputy Prime Minister, as the new Defense Minister, replacing Sergei Shoigu, who has led the Ministry of Defense for over 11 years. Concurrently, Shoigu has been appointed as the Secretary of the Russian Security Council, taking over from Nikolai Patrushev, who has served since 2008 and has now been dismissed. These changes come amidst ongoing challenges in Ukraine, suggesting a strategic redirection in Russia's military and security framework.
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Significant tightening • 33%
Minor changes • 33%
No significant changes • 34%
Increase in nuclear arsenal • 25%
Reduction in nuclear arsenal • 25%
No change in nuclear strategy • 25%
Shift in focus to conventional weapons • 25%
Increase in security measures • 33%
No change in policy • 33%
Softening of stance on information sharing • 34%
Increased security measures • 25%
New legislation on information security • 25%
Public transparency initiative • 25%
No significant policy change • 25%
Increased military engagement • 33%
Unchanged military engagement • 34%
Decreased military engagement • 33%
Increased military readiness • 50%
No change in readiness • 25%
Decreased military readiness • 25%
Increase in military exercises • 25%
No change in military strategy • 25%
Reduction in overt military activities • 25%
Strategic alliances with other nations • 25%
Increased reliance on tactical nukes • 33%
Broadened conditions for use • 33%
No significant changes • 33%
No further changes • 25%
Minor changes in personnel • 25%
Major restructuring • 25%
Changes in policy focus • 25%
Major reshuffle • 33%
Minor changes • 33%
No change • 34%