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VisitSEC Signals 75% Approval Odds for Spot Ethereum ETF, Ether Prices Surge 23%
May 21, 2024, 03:00 PM
The odds of the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) approving a spot Ethereum (ETH) exchange-traded fund (ETF) have surged, causing a significant rally in the cryptocurrency market. Bloomberg analysts have increased the approval odds to 75%, up from 25%, leading to a 23% rise in Ether's price to around $3,600. The SEC has asked exchanges to update their 19b-4 filings on an accelerated basis, signaling a potential approval as soon as this week. Polymarket odds also reflect this optimism, with a 69% chance of approval by May 31. Five major asset managers, including VanEck, have amended their filings. This optimism has also driven a surge in related digital assets, including memecoins. The approval of a spot ETH ETF is expected to significantly impact the market, with analysts predicting Ether's price could rise to $6,600 if the ETF is approved.
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Increase by over 30% • 33%
Increase by 10% to 30% • 34%
Increase by less than 10% • 33%
Less than 5% • 20%
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10% to 15% • 20%
15% to 20% • 20%
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No • 50%
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Increase by 71-80% • 25%
Increase by more than 80% • 25%
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ETH price increase >10% • 33%
ETH price increase 5-10% • 33%
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Significant increase in BTC and ETH • 25%
Increase in ETH, decrease in BTC • 25%
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Significant decrease in BTC and ETH • 25%
Significant Increase • 33%
Moderate Increase • 33%
No Change or Decrease • 34%
Increase by over 10% • 33%
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No significant change • 34%
Price drops over 20% • 25%
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Price remains stable or increases • 25%
Yes • 50%
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Only Ethereum surges • 25%
Ethereum and Bitcoin surge • 25%
Broad market surge (multiple top cryptocurrencies) • 25%
No significant change in market • 25%
Asset Manager D • 20%
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VanEck • 20%
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