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VisitSEC to Decide on Ethereum ETF Approval This Week, 75% Odds by May 23
May 21, 2024, 07:29 AM
The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) is expected to make a decision on the approval of spot Ethereum (ETH) ETFs this week, with deadlines for VanEck and ArkInvest/21Shares applications on May 23 and May 24, respectively. Bloomberg analysts have raised the probability of approval to 75%, up from 25%, leading to a surge in Ethereum prices by approximately 23% to $3,600. The SEC has asked exchanges, including Nasdaq, to expedite their 19b-4 filings, signaling a potential positive outcome. Market sentiment has shifted dramatically, with Polymarket odds of approval jumping from 15% to 50%. The anticipation of ETF approval has also led to increased trading activity and open interest in Ethereum, now at a record-breaking $14 billion.
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ETH price increase >10% • 33%
ETH price increase 5-10% • 33%
ETH price increase <5% • 33%
Less than 10% • 25%
10% to 20% • 25%
21% to 30% • 25%
More than 30% • 25%
Increase by 50-60% • 25%
Increase by 61-70% • 25%
Increase by 71-80% • 25%
Increase by more than 80% • 25%
Less than 5% • 20%
5% to 10% • 20%
10% to 15% • 20%
15% to 20% • 20%
More than 20% • 20%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Increase by over 10% • 33%
Increase by less than 10% • 33%
No significant change • 34%
Increase by over $70 billion • 25%
Increase by $40 billion to $70 billion • 25%
Increase by $10 billion to $40 billion • 25%
Increase by less than $10 billion • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Becomes the most valuable cryptocurrency • 25%
Stays within top five • 25%
Drops below second place • 25%
Remains second to Bitcoin • 25%