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VisitSEC Signals 75% Approval Odds for Spot Ethereum ETF, Ether Prices Surge 23%
May 21, 2024, 03:00 PM
The odds of the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) approving a spot Ethereum (ETH) exchange-traded fund (ETF) have surged, causing a significant rally in the cryptocurrency market. Bloomberg analysts have increased the approval odds to 75%, up from 25%, leading to a 23% rise in Ether's price to around $3,600. The SEC has asked exchanges to update their 19b-4 filings on an accelerated basis, signaling a potential approval as soon as this week. Polymarket odds also reflect this optimism, with a 69% chance of approval by May 31. Five major asset managers, including VanEck, have amended their filings. This optimism has also driven a surge in related digital assets, including memecoins. The approval of a spot ETH ETF is expected to significantly impact the market, with analysts predicting Ether's price could rise to $6,600 if the ETF is approved.
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Approved • 33%
Denied • 33%
Deferred • 34%
BlackRock • 25%
Fidelity • 25%
Vanguard • 25%
Other • 25%
Both by August 31, 2024 • 25%
Approval by August 31, trading by September 30 • 25%
Approval after August 31, trading by September 30 • 25%
Both after August 31, 2024 • 25%
Asset Manager D • 20%
Asset Manager E • 20%
VanEck • 20%
Asset Manager B • 20%
Asset Manager C • 20%
$5,001 - $6,000 • 25%
$6,001 - $7,000 • 25%
Above $7,000 • 25%
$4,000 - $5,000 • 25%