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Market
Will Yahya Sinwar escape Gaza by end of 2024?
3
Israel•Hamas•Yahya Sinwar•Israeli•Gal Hirsch•Bloomberg•Yoav Gallant•Britain•Jewish Chronicle•Sinwar•Gaza
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Verified news reports, official statements
Story
Israel Offers Safe Exit to Hamas Leader in Exchange for Hostages, Signals Possible Truce
Sep 11, 2024, 03:31 AM
Israel has offered Hamas leader Yahya Sinwar safe passage to another country in exchange for the release of Israeli hostages and Hamas relinquishing power. This proposal, which was confirmed by hostage envoy Gal Hirsch in an interview with Bloomberg, aims to end the ongoing hostilities. Israeli defense chief Yoav Gallant mentioned that while a temporary truce with Hamas is possible, a permanent end to the war remains uncertain. The accuracy and sourcing of a report by Britain's Jewish Chronicle on Sinwar's plans to escape Gaza have been questioned.
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Similar markets
Granted safe passage • 25%
Remains in Gaza • 25%
Captured by Israeli forces • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Captured by IDF • 25%
Killed by IDF • 25%
Still at large • 25%
Unknown/Other • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Gaza Strip • 25%
West Bank • 25%
Outside Palestinian Territories • 25%
Not captured • 25%
