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What will be the status of Yahya Sinwar by the end of 2024?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Captured by IDF • 25%
Killed by IDF • 25%
Still at large • 25%
Unknown/Other • 25%
Official announcements from the IDF, Hamas, or credible news agencies
Story
IDF Relentlessly Launches Massive Air and Ground Attacks on Khan Yunis, Gaza
Jul 22, 2024, 11:13 AM
The Israeli Defense Forces (IDF) have launched a series of intense air and ground attacks on Khan Yunis, Gaza. The Israeli Air Force is relentlessly targeting Hamas cells, with multiple airstrikes documented throughout the day. Residents of the eastern districts of Khan Yunis are evacuating under fire following the IDF's announcement of a ground invasion. The strikes come after calls by the IDF for civilians to evacuate eastern areas of the city. Israeli intelligence believes that Yahya Sinwar, a senior Hamas leader, is likely hiding in Khan Yunis. Several impacts have occurred within a large refuge encampment. The airstrikes are described as massive, aiming to pound Hamas into non-existence.
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Granted safe passage • 25%
Remains in Gaza • 25%
Captured by Israeli forces • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Remains political chief • 25%
Replaced by another leader • 25%
Assassinated • 25%
Steps down voluntarily • 25%
Still in power • 33%
Removed from power • 33%
Deceased • 33%
Confirmed Unharmed • 25%
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Confirmed Alive • 25%
Confirmed Injured • 25%
Status Unknown • 25%
Killed • 25%
Injured • 25%
Alive and uninjured • 25%
Status unknown • 25%
Safe passage granted • 25%
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Still in negotiations • 25%
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Captured by Israeli forces • 25%
Killed by Israeli forces • 25%
Continues as leader • 25%
Steps down or replaced • 25%
UN Condemns Israel • 25%
UN Condemns Hamas • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Mixed responses • 25%
Leaves Gaza with family • 25%
Stays in Gaza • 25%
Arrested or captured • 25%
Other outcome • 25%