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Market
Will Wagner extend operations to more African regions by end of 2024?
5
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
International news agencies reports and statements from the Kremlin
Story
Wagner Captures Warlord Joseph Kony, Expands Kremlin's Influence in Africa
Apr 27, 2024, 07:40 PM
Russian mercenaries have recently captured the notorious warlord Joseph Kony in the Central African Republic, following a bloody near-capture earlier this month. This significant development in international military efforts underscores the expanding influence of the Kremlin in Africa, contrasting with the perceived unraveling of Washington's strategy on the continent. The operation, led by Wagner, a group linked to the Kremlin, highlights their growing operational reach across Africa.
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1-2 countries • 25%
3-5 countries • 25%
6+ countries • 25%
No expansion • 25%
High support • 33%
Moderate support • 33%
Low support • 34%
Increased Stability • 25%
Increased Conflict • 25%
No Significant Change • 25%
Decreased Sovereignty of National Governments • 25%
Local Governments • 33%
Foreign Military Forces • 33%
Private Security Companies • 34%
