Loading...
Market
Primary Opposition to Wagner in Africa 2024
5
Russian Ministry of Defense•African Corps•Wagner PMC•US•Niger•Africa•Wagner•Mali•Central African Republic•Rwandan•UN•Faustian
Resolution / Starting Odds
Local Governments • 33%
Foreign Military Forces • 33%
Private Security Companies • 34%
Analysis from geopolitical experts and major international security reports
Story
Russian 'African Corps' Forms with Wagner PMC, Forces Faustian Bargain in Africa
May 3, 2024, 12:30 PM
The Russian Ministry of Defense has reportedly established an 'African Corps' composed of operatives from the Wagner PMC, amid a US agreement to withdraw troops from Niger. This development coincides with recent geopolitical tensions in Africa, where Wagner mercenaries are active in several countries, including Mali and the Central African Republic (CAR). The presence of these mercenaries is part of a complex scenario involving various international and local forces, such as Rwandan soldiers and UN peacekeepers. The expansion of Wagner's influence in Africa has led to imperiled governments facing a Faustian bargain, raising concerns about their sovereignty.
View original story
Similar markets
Support • 25%
Neutral • 25%
Opposition • 25%
Increased collaboration • 25%
High support • 33%
Moderate support • 33%
Low support • 34%
Sudan • 20%
Somalia • 20%
Libya • 20%
Mali • 20%
None • 20%
Russia • 40%
China • 20%
France • 20%
None (No foreign military support) • 20%
Counterterrorism • 33%
Training local forces • 33%
Resource security • 34%
Official protests and diplomatic actions • 33%
Official protests but no significant actions • 33%
No official protests • 34%
1-2 countries • 25%
3-5 countries • 25%
6+ countries • 25%
No expansion • 25%
Increase in military investment by other countries • 25%
Neutral/no change in foreign military presence • 25%
Decrease in overall foreign military presence • 25%
Increased diplomatic efforts instead of military • 25%