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Will U.S. military actions lead to a significant change in Houthi-controlled territory by the end of 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Reports from international observers or credible news agencies
Story
Trump to Intensify Military Activity Against Iran-Backed Houthis with Gulf States Support Post-Inauguration on January 20, 2025
Jan 1, 2025, 07:12 PM
U.S. President-elect Donald Trump is preparing to increase military activity against the Houthis in Yemen following his inauguration on January 20, 2025. According to sources familiar with the details, Trump is expected to appeal to Gulf states to enhance the regional coalition against the Iran-backed militant group. This strategy aims to intensify operations against the Houthis, who have been a significant threat in the region. The Jerusalem Post reported on these developments, indicating that Trump's approach is already influencing the dynamics in the Middle East even before he takes office.
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Escalation of conflict • 25%
Significant reduction in Houthi capabilities • 25%
Peace talks initiated • 25%
Minimal impact on Houthi capabilities • 25%
Significant degradation of Houthi capabilities • 25%
No measurable impact • 25%
Minimal impact on Houthi capabilities • 25%
Moderate impact on Houthi capabilities • 25%
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No • 50%
No measurable impact on Houthi capabilities • 25%
Minor impact on Houthi capabilities • 25%
Significant degradation of Houthi capabilities • 25%
Houthi capabilities strengthened • 25%
Continued hostilities • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Increased US military involvement • 25%
Withdrawal of US forces • 25%
Increased capabilities • 25%
Significant reduction in capabilities • 25%
Moderate reduction in capabilities • 25%
No significant change in capabilities • 25%
Decreased operations • 25%
Increased operations • 25%
Other • 25%
Ceasefire • 25%
No significant military action • 25%
Intercepted attack • 25%
Failed attack due to technical issues • 25%
Successful attack on a military target • 25%
Significant decrease • 25%
Moderate decrease • 25%
Increase • 25%
No change • 25%
Houthi retaliation • 25%
Continued escalation • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Limited impact • 25%
Other • 25%
Houthi retaliation • 25%
Significant Houthi military setback • 25%