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Market
Will U.S. Congress introduce legislation to block the missile sale to Japan by Q1 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official records from the U.S. Congress or credible news sources
Story
U.S. Approves $3.64 Billion Sale of 1,200 AIM-120 AMRAAM D-3/C-8 Missiles to Japan
Jan 2, 2025, 08:54 PM
The U.S. State Department has approved a potential sale of 1,200 Advanced Medium-Range Air-to-Air Missiles (AMRAAM) to Japan, valued at approximately $3.64 billion. This sale includes the latest D-3 and C-8 models of the AIM-120 missiles, with an estimated unit cost of around $1 million each. The Pentagon confirmed the approval, which encompasses associated equipment and services as part of the deal.
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Sale postponed • 25%
Sale cancelled • 25%
Sale modified • 25%
Sale completed • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
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No official reaction • 25%
South Korea expresses concern • 25%
China protests • 25%
Completed by Q2 2025 • 25%
Completed by Q4 2025 • 25%
Completed by Q3 2025 • 25%
Not completed by end of 2025 • 25%
