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Will the Biden administration face significant congressional opposition over the arms sale by February 28, 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Statements from key congressional leaders or major news reports
Story
Biden Proposes $8 Billion Arms Sale to Israel, Including Missiles and Artillery Shells
Jan 4, 2025, 12:15 PM
The Biden administration has informally notified Congress of a proposed $8 billion arms sale to Israel that includes AIM-120C-8 AMRAAM missiles, AGM-114 Hellfire missiles, 155mm artillery shells, GBU-39 Small Diameter Bombs, 500-pound warheads, and Joint Direct Attack Munition (JDAM) kits. The deal aims to bolster Israel's security by replenishing munitions for fighter jets, attack helicopters, and artillery units. While some munitions can be supplied from current U.S. stocks, the majority will take one or more years to deliver. This proposed sale requires congressional approval and is expected to be one of the last major arms deals approved by President Joe Biden before the end of his term.
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Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Bipartisan support • 25%
Democratic opposition • 25%
Republican opposition • 25%
Bipartisan opposition • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Rejected • 25%
Approved with changes • 25%
Approved without changes • 25%
No decision by deadline • 25%
Approved without modifications • 25%
Rejected • 25%
Approved with modifications • 25%
Pending beyond March 31, 2025 • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Sale canceled • 25%
Sale completed as planned • 25%
Sale delayed • 25%
Sale modified • 25%