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Will Japan conduct a successful test of AIM-120 D-3/C-8 missiles by mid-2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Reports from Japanese defense agencies or credible news outlets
Story
U.S. Approves $3.64 Billion Sale of 1,200 AIM-120 AMRAAM D-3/C-8 Missiles to Japan
Jan 2, 2025, 08:54 PM
The U.S. State Department has approved a potential sale of 1,200 Advanced Medium-Range Air-to-Air Missiles (AMRAAM) to Japan, valued at approximately $3.64 billion. This sale includes the latest D-3 and C-8 models of the AIM-120 missiles, with an estimated unit cost of around $1 million each. The Pentagon confirmed the approval, which encompasses associated equipment and services as part of the deal.
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Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Hokkaido • 25%
Okinawa • 25%
Tokyo • 25%
Other • 25%
Fully deployed • 25%
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Partially deployed • 25%
Deployment cancelled • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Completed by Q2 2025 • 25%
Completed by Q3 2025 • 25%
Completed by Q4 2025 • 25%
Not completed by end of 2025 • 25%
Sale postponed • 25%
Sale completed • 25%
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Sale cancelled • 25%