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Will UOC-MP communities sever ties with the Russian Orthodox Church by May 20, 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official announcements from UOC-MP or Ukrainian government publications
Story
Ukraine Passes Bill 8371 Banning Russian-Linked Orthodox Church, Approved by 265 Lawmakers
Aug 20, 2024, 11:28 AM
The Ukrainian Parliament has passed a law, bill number 8371, banning religious organizations linked to Russia, specifically targeting the Ukrainian Orthodox Church of the Moscow Patriarchate (UOC-MP). This decision, approved by 265 lawmakers, is aimed at severing ties with the Russian Orthodox Church and countering Russian influence in Ukraine. The law will take effect 30 days after its publication, with a provision allowing UOC-MP communities nine months to sever ties with the Russian Orthodox Church. The Moscow Patriarchate condemned the move as unlawful. The legislation has sparked controversy, with some viewing it as a necessary step for national security, while others criticize it as an infringement on religious freedom.
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Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Sever ties with Russian Orthodox Church • 25%
Continue ties despite ban • 25%
Form a new independent church • 25%
Seek asylum in another country • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Sever ties with the Russian Orthodox Church • 25%
Rebrand and continue operations • 25%
Relocate operations outside Ukraine • 25%
Disband entirely • 25%
Seize assets • 25%
Impose fines • 25%
Arrest leaders • 25%
Other actions • 25%
Accept the ban • 25%
Challenge the ban legally • 25%
Cut ties with Russia • 25%
Relocate operations outside Ukraine • 25%
Support from major Western countries • 25%
Condemnation from major Western countries • 25%
Neutral stance from major Western countries • 25%
Mixed responses • 25%
Ban implemented • 33%
Church cuts ties with Russia • 33%
No change • 33%
