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What will be the outcome of UOC-MP communities' response to the ban by May 20, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Sever ties with Russian Orthodox Church • 25%
Continue ties despite ban • 25%
Form a new independent church • 25%
Seek asylum in another country • 25%
Official statements from UOC-MP, Ukrainian government announcements, and media reports
Story
Ukraine Bans UOC-MP, Gives Nine Months to Sever Russian Ties
Aug 20, 2024, 09:13 AM
Ukraine's parliament has passed a law to ban religious organizations associated with the Russian Orthodox Church, specifically targeting the Ukrainian Orthodox Church of the Moscow Patriarchate (UOC-MP). The law will take effect 30 days after publication, with UOC-MP communities given nine months to sever ties with the Russian Orthodox Church. The decision is part of Ukraine's efforts to curb Russian influence and address concerns about the church's support for Russian aggression. The All-Ukrainian Council of Churches and Religious Organizations has backed this legislative move, and the Head Rabbi of the United Jewish Communities of Ukraine, Jacob Dov Bleich, has expressed support for the ban.
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Complete enforcement • 25%
Partial enforcement • 25%
No enforcement • 25%
Legal reversal • 25%
Sever ties with the Russian Orthodox Church • 25%
Rebrand and continue operations • 25%
Relocate operations outside Ukraine • 25%
Disband entirely • 25%
Ban implemented • 33%
Church cuts ties with Russia • 33%
No change • 33%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Seize assets • 25%
Impose fines • 25%
Arrest leaders • 25%
Other actions • 25%
Majority support • 25%
Majority condemnation • 25%
Mixed reactions • 25%
Neutral stance • 25%
Accept the ban • 25%
Challenge the ban legally • 25%
Cut ties with Russia • 25%
Relocate operations outside Ukraine • 25%
Upheld in courts • 25%
Partially overturned • 25%
Completely overturned • 25%
No legal challenges • 25%
Majority support • 25%
Majority opposition • 25%
Evenly split • 25%
Indifferent • 25%
Ban upheld by courts • 25%
Ban overturned by courts • 25%
Partial modification of the ban • 25%
No significant legal challenges • 25%