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Will Ukraine lower conscription age to 18 by February 28, 2025?
4
Biden•Ukraine•Russia•The Washington Post•Ukrainian•Joe Biden•American•National Security•Jake Sullivan
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official announcements from the Ukrainian government or credible news reports
Story
Biden Rushes Arms to Ukraine, Urges Lower Draft Age Amid Fears of Trump Halting Aid
Dec 2, 2024, 02:38 PM
The Biden administration is urgently pushing Ukraine to lower its conscription age from 25 to 18 due to significant troop shortages in the ongoing war with Russia, according to reports from The Washington Post. U.S. officials have expressed growing frustration with Ukrainian leaders who are resisting calls to expand military recruitment. President Joe Biden has directed a massive surge in military equipment delivery to Ukraine, aiming to spend all appropriated funds before leaving office, amid concerns about depleting American stockpiles and military needs elsewhere. National Security Advisor Jake Sullivan confirmed the administration's intent to strengthen Ukraine's battlefield position in the remaining days.
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Similar markets
Other • 25%
Raised above current level • 25%
Remains unchanged • 25%
Lowered to 18 • 25%
19-20 years • 25%
18 years • 25%
21-25 years • 25%
26 years or older • 25%
Conscription age unchanged • 25%
Other actions • 25%
Conscription age increased • 25%
Conscription age lowered • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Age remains at 25 • 25%
Age lowered to 18 • 25%
Age raised above 25 • 25%
Lower draft age • 25%
Recruit women • 25%
No change • 25%
Recruit refugees • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Majority support lowering age • 25%
Majority oppose lowering age • 25%