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Market
Will TikTok secure a non-China-based owner before January 19, 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official announcements from TikTok or credible news outlets
Story
Trump Expected to Halt TikTok Ban Before Jan. 19 Deadline: Washington Post
Nov 12, 2024, 06:08 PM
President-elect Donald Trump is expected to attempt to halt the potential U.S. ban on TikTok, aiming to 'save' the popular social media app as he promised during his campaign, according to allies cited by the Washington Post. This move would represent a significant policy shift for an incoming president who has frequently criticized China. TikTok faces a deadline on January 19, 2025, to find a non-China-based owner in order to continue operating in the United States.
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U.S.-based tech company • 25%
European-based company • 25%
Consortium of investors • 25%
Other • 25%
ByteDance retains ownership • 25%
U.S. ownership • 25%
International ownership • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
Ban halted, TikTok remains under current ownership • 25%
Ban halted, TikTok secures new non-China-based owner • 25%
Ban enforced, TikTok exits U.S. market • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Acquired by US-based company • 25%
Acquired by non-US, non-China-based company • 25%
Remains under current ownership • 25%
Operations cease in the US • 25%
Sold to US company • 25%
Sold to non-US company • 25%
Remains under ByteDance • 25%
Banned in US • 25%