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Market
Will TikTok resume US operations by June 2025?
3
Senate Intelligence Committee•Tom Cotton•Pete Ricketts•TikTok•Amazon•Apple•Google•Microsoft•ByteDance•Communist China
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official announcements from TikTok or major news outlets
Story
Tom Cotton and Pete Ricketts Reinforce TikTok Ban, Urge Compliance from Major Tech Firms Amid ByteDance's Grave Threat
Jan 19, 2025, 01:10 PM
Senate Intelligence Committee Chairman Tom Cotton and Senator Pete Ricketts reaffirmed their stance on TikTok, emphasizing that the recently enacted law leaves no room for extending its effective date. They commended major tech companies, including Amazon, Apple, Google, and Microsoft, for complying with the law by halting operations with ByteDance and TikTok. The senators stated that for TikTok to resume operations, ByteDance must comply with the law's qualified-divestiture requirements, which necessitate severing all ties with Communist China. They warned that any violation of the law could lead to severe financial repercussions for companies involved.
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Partially restricted • 25%
Other status • 25%
Banned • 25%
Fully operational • 25%
Under new joint venture • 25%
Operations ceased • 25%
Sold to another company • 25%
Continues under ByteDance • 25%
TikTok resumes operations • 25%
TikTok remains banned • 25%
TikTok divested to a U.S. company • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Continues under new ownership • 25%
Temporarily suspended • 25%
Continues under current ownership • 25%
Banned • 25%
