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Will TikTok reach an agreement with the U.S. government to lift the ban by March 31, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official announcements from TikTok or the U.S. government, major news outlets
Story
TikTok Alerts 170 Million U.S. Users of Temporary Unavailability Starting January 19 Ahead of Trump's January 20 Inauguration
Jan 19, 2025, 03:22 AM
TikTok has begun notifying its U.S. users that the app will become 'temporarily unavailable' starting January 19, 2025, coinciding with the government's ban. This alert signals that the app could cease operations just before President-elect Donald Trump's inauguration on January 20. Approximately 170 million Americans use TikTok, and the app's notifications indicate that Trump has expressed intentions to collaborate on a solution to reinstate TikTok once he takes office. As the ban approaches, users are experiencing access issues, with the app stating it is not currently available.
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No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Ban lifted completely • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Ban remains in place • 25%
Ban partially lifted with restrictions • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
TikTok Banned • 25%
Divestment • 25%
Legal Battle Continues • 25%
Political Resolution • 25%
Impose restrictions • 25%
Order shutdown • 25%
Grant permanent approval • 25%
Grant temporary extension • 25%
