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Will there be significant progress on UN Resolution 2254 by end of 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
United Nations reports or statements from involved parties
Story
Russian Bases in Syria on High Alert, No Threats, as Moscow Engages with Opposition
Dec 8, 2024, 11:39 AM
The Russian Foreign Ministry has announced that its military bases in Syria are on heightened combat alert, though there are currently no significant threats to their safety. Russia is actively engaging with all factions of the Syrian opposition, calling for a renunciation of violence and a political resolution to the ongoing conflict. This comes as part of broader efforts to support a comprehensive political process in line with UN Security Council Resolution 2254, which aims for a peaceful transition in Syria.
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Transition to an inclusive government • 25%
Continued conflict • 25%
Partial political reforms • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Full reconciliation achieved • 25%
Partial reconciliation achieved • 25%
No reconciliation achieved • 25%
Increased conflict • 25%
Sanctions • 25%
Peacekeeping mission • 25%
Humanitarian aid increase • 25%
Other diplomatic action • 25%
United Nations • 25%
European Union • 25%
Arab League • 25%
Other • 25%
National unity government formed • 25%
Ceasefire agreement reached • 25%
No significant progress • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Peace agreement reached • 25%
Stalemate continues • 25%
Escalation of conflict • 25%
Other outcome • 25%