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Will Russian bases in Syria face a significant threat by June 30, 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Reports from Russian Defense Ministry or credible international news outlets
Story
Russian Bases in Syria on High Alert, No Threats, as Moscow Engages with Opposition
Dec 8, 2024, 11:39 AM
The Russian Foreign Ministry has announced that its military bases in Syria are on heightened combat alert, though there are currently no significant threats to their safety. Russia is actively engaging with all factions of the Syrian opposition, calling for a renunciation of violence and a political resolution to the ongoing conflict. This comes as part of broader efforts to support a comprehensive political process in line with UN Security Council Resolution 2254, which aims for a peaceful transition in Syria.
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Similar markets
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Controlled by other rebel groups • 25%
Fully operational • 25%
Under threat • 25%
Evacuated • 25%
Controlled by Syria • 25%
Abandoned • 25%
Controlled by HTS • 25%
Partially operational • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Indifferent to Russian presence • 25%
Other • 25%
Support continued Russian presence • 25%
Demand Russian withdrawal • 25%
Operational and unchanged • 25%
Reduced operations • 25%
Closed • 25%
Expanded operations • 25%
Bases completely withdrawn • 25%
Bases maintained at current levels • 25%
Bases expanded • 25%
Bases reduced • 25%
Terrorist threats • 25%
Other • 25%
Political tensions • 25%
Increased regional conflict • 25%
Other • 25%
Temporary presence • 25%
Permanent presence • 25%
Complete withdrawal • 25%
