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Market
Will there be international involvement in Noa Argamani's release by October 31, 2024?
5
Resolution / Starting Odds
UN involvement • 33%
US government involvement • 33%
No international involvement • 34%
Verified news sources such as Reuters, BBC, or official statements from the Israeli government or international organizations
Story
Hamas Releases Video of Israeli Hostage Noa Argamani Held for 237 Days
May 31, 2024, 02:52 PM
Hamas has published a video featuring the voice of Israeli hostage Noa Argamani, who has been held in Gaza for over 237 days. The video, which appears to have been recorded yesterday, has been described as psychological warfare by Israeli media. Noa's family has requested not to broadcast or share the video. The release of the video comes as Noa's mother battles a terminal brain tumor in the hospital.
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Similar markets
UN intervention • 33%
EU intervention • 33%
No significant intervention • 34%
Positive • 50%
Negative • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
High coverage in international media • 33%
Moderate coverage in international media • 33%
Low coverage in international media • 33%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Prisoner exchange • 25%
Ransom payment • 25%
Humanitarian release • 25%
Continued detention • 25%
Increases support for current government • 33%
No significant impact • 33%
Decreases support for current government • 33%
Positive response • 33%
No response • 33%
Negative response • 34%
None • 33%
UN intervention • 33%
Individual country intervention • 33%