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What will be the condition of Noa Argamani upon release by December 31, 2024?
5
Resolution / Starting Odds
In good health • 33%
In poor health • 33%
Deceased • 34%
Verified news sources such as Reuters, BBC, or official statements from the Israeli government or medical reports
Story
Hamas Releases Video of Israeli Hostage Noa Argamani Held for 237 Days
May 31, 2024, 02:52 PM
Hamas has published a video featuring the voice of Israeli hostage Noa Argamani, who has been held in Gaza for over 237 days. The video, which appears to have been recorded yesterday, has been described as psychological warfare by Israeli media. Noa's family has requested not to broadcast or share the video. The release of the video comes as Noa's mother battles a terminal brain tumor in the hospital.
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Similar markets
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Prisoner exchange • 25%
Ransom payment • 25%
Humanitarian release • 25%
Continued detention • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Positive • 50%
Negative • 50%
UN intervention • 33%
EU intervention • 33%
No significant intervention • 34%
High coverage in international media • 33%
Moderate coverage in international media • 33%
Low coverage in international media • 33%
Positive response • 33%
No response • 33%
Negative response • 34%
Increases support for current government • 33%
No significant impact • 33%
Decreases support for current government • 33%
Fully Recovered • 25%
Partially Recovered • 25%
Still Under Treatment • 25%
Deceased • 25%
Recovered and released • 33%
Recovered and detained • 33%
Succumbed to injuries • 33%