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Market
Will Noa Argamani be released by Hamas by August 31, 2024?
5
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Verified news sources such as Reuters, BBC, or official statements from the Israeli government
Story
Hamas Releases Video of Israeli Hostage Noa Argamani Held for 237 Days
May 31, 2024, 02:52 PM
Hamas has published a video featuring the voice of Israeli hostage Noa Argamani, who has been held in Gaza for over 237 days. The video, which appears to have been recorded yesterday, has been described as psychological warfare by Israeli media. Noa's family has requested not to broadcast or share the video. The release of the video comes as Noa's mother battles a terminal brain tumor in the hospital.
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Similar markets
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Prisoner exchange • 25%
Ransom payment • 25%
Humanitarian release • 25%
Continued detention • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Positive response • 33%
No response • 33%
Negative response • 34%
UN intervention • 33%
EU intervention • 33%
No significant intervention • 34%
