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Will there be international intervention or mediation in the Israel-Hezbollah conflict by March 31, 2025?
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Beirut•Hezbollah•Ibrahim Aqil•Aqil•Operations Unit•Radwan Force•Israeli Defense Forces•IDF•United States•US Embassy•Marine Barracks•Lebanese
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Verified reports from major news agencies such as Reuters, BBC, or Al Jazeera
Story
Israeli Airstrike Kills Senior Hezbollah Commander Ibrahim Aqil in Beirut on Friday
Sep 20, 2024, 03:50 PM
Israeli airstrikes in Beirut on Friday have resulted in the death of senior Hezbollah commander Ibrahim Aqil. Aqil, who was the head of Hezbollah's Operations Unit and the commander of the elite Radwan Force, was targeted in the southern suburbs of Beirut. The Israeli Defense Forces (IDF) confirmed the strike, stating that Aqil was responsible for Hezbollah's military operations and was wanted by the United States for his involvement in the 1983 bombings of the US Embassy and Marine Barracks in Beirut. Aqil had a $7 million bounty on his head. Reports indicate that Aqil was killed alongside 10 other senior Hezbollah commanders during the airstrike. Lebanese health officials reported that at least 14 people were killed and nearly 60 wounded in the attack.
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Yes • 50%
No • 50%
United Nations • 25%
United States • 25%
European Union • 25%
Other • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
UN-led intervention • 25%
NATO-led intervention • 25%
No international intervention • 25%
Other international intervention • 25%
UN peacekeeping forces deployed • 25%
NATO intervention • 25%
No international intervention • 25%
Other international intervention • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
UN sanctions on Hezbollah • 25%
UN sanctions on Israel • 25%
Peacekeeping mission • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Ceasefire Agreement • 25%
Continued Stalemate • 25%
Escalation of Conflict • 25%
Peace Agreement • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
