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Will there be a significant diplomatic action between the US and China related to this case by the end of 2024?
3
Chinese•Shujun Wang•United States•New York•China•Beijing•Wang•Queens•Fox Hunt•Feng He•Jie Ji•Ming Li•Keqing Lu
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official statements and diplomatic actions reported in news
Story
Chinese Academic Shujun Wang Convicted of Acting as Foreign Agent in U.S., Faces 25 Years
Aug 6, 2024, 05:43 PM
A Chinese academic, Shujun Wang, was convicted on Tuesday of illegally acting as a foreign agent in the United States by collecting information about New York-based activists supporting democracy in China and sharing his findings with Beijing. Wang, a Queens resident who posed as a pro-democracy dissident, faces up to 25 years in prison. He was convicted of acting and conspiring to act as an agent of a foreign government without prior notification to the U.S. Attorney General. The case, which echoes China's 'Fox Hunt' operations, also involves Feng He, Jie Ji, Ming Li, and Keqing Lu, who remain at large. Sentencing is set for January 9.
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Release of another American detainee • 25%
Lifting of specific trade restrictions • 25%
High-level diplomatic meeting • 25%
Other • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Formal protest or complaint • 25%
Retaliatory action against South Korea • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Other • 25%
Yes, with significant outcomes • 25%
Yes, but no significant outcomes • 25%
No meeting • 25%
Meeting postponed • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Improved relations • 33%
Status quo • 33%
Deteriorated relations • 33%
New sanctions by the US on China • 25%
New sanctions by China on US defense companies • 25%
New trade agreements involving defense companies • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Conviction • 25%
Acquittal • 25%
Mistrial • 25%
Case dismissed • 25%