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Market
What will be the next major diplomatic action between the US and China related to defense companies by the end of 2024?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
New sanctions by the US on China • 25%
New sanctions by China on US defense companies • 25%
New trade agreements involving defense companies • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Official announcements from the US and Chinese governments or credible news sources
Story
China Withdraws Sanctions on US Company ViaSat in Rare Reversal
Jul 22, 2024, 09:26 AM
China has decided to withdraw the sanctions on the US defense company ViaSat, according to Chinese Foreign Ministry spokesperson Mao Ning. The decision, announced on Monday, is in accordance with China's Anti-Foreign Sanctions Law and other relevant laws. This move marks a rare reversal after China had targeted the company over proposed arms sales to Taiwan. The sanctions removal is due to changes in the circumstances that underpin the countermeasures.
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Release of another American detainee • 25%
Lifting of specific trade restrictions • 25%
High-level diplomatic meeting • 25%
Other • 25%
Recall ambassador • 25%
Issue formal protest • 25%
Suspend trade talks • 25%
Other • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Anduril Industries • 20%
Maritime Tactical Systems • 20%
Pacific Rim Defense • 20%
AEVEX Aerospace • 20%
Other • 20%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Increased sanctions • 25%
Formal diplomatic protest • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Improved relations • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Another prisoner swap • 25%
Easing of sanctions • 25%
New sanctions • 25%
No major action • 25%
Company A • 25%
Company B • 25%
Company C • 25%
Other • 25%