Loading...
Market
Will there be a change in Hezbollah's leadership by the end of 2024?
2
Hezbollah•Beirut•Lebanon•Israeli Defense Forces•IDF•Dahieh•Haret Hreik•Chiyah•Alhaj Abbas Salameh•Israeli•Beirut International Airport•Israeli Air Force
Resolution / Starting Odds
New leader announced • 25%
Current leadership remains • 25%
Interim leadership established • 25%
Leadership dispute or conflict • 25%
Official announcements from Hezbollah or credible reports from major news agencies
Story
Israeli Airstrikes Hit Hezbollah Sites in Beirut, Destroy Intelligence HQ; Three Commanders Killed
Oct 20, 2024, 11:14 AM
Israeli forces have intensified airstrikes on Hezbollah targets in southern Beirut, Lebanon, over the past two days. The Israeli Defense Forces (IDF) announced that they struck a Hezbollah intelligence headquarters and an underground weapons manufacturing site in the Dahieh suburbs, including the Al-Dahieh and Haret Hreik neighborhoods, strongholds of the militant group. The IDF stated that prior to the strikes, they issued evacuation warnings to civilians in the area and warned residents to evacuate additional neighborhoods to mitigate harm. Significant damage has been reported, with residential buildings in areas such as Haret Hreik and Chiyah turned to rubble. One of the strikes hit near the main entrance of the Al-Manar TV headquarters, a media outlet affiliated with Hezbollah. Reports indicate that at least three senior Hezbollah officials, including Alhaj Abbas Salameh, were killed in the strikes. Israeli airstrikes have also targeted underground Hezbollah bunkers and positions near Beirut International Airport. The attacks mark the first on Hezbollah's main stronghold in three days and are part of ongoing efforts to target the group's military capabilities. Hezbollah has not confirmed the casualties. The situation continues to develop as the Israeli Air Force conducts further operations against Hezbollah assets in Lebanon.
View original story
Similar markets
Naim Qassem remains in power • 25%
New leader appointed • 25%
Temporary leadership council formed • 25%
Hezbollah leadership remains unchanged • 25%
Naim Qassem replaced • 25%
No changes • 25%
Other leadership changes • 25%
Unknown/Unconfirmed • 25%
Unknown • 25%
Same Leader • 25%
New Leader • 25%
Interim Leadership • 25%
Yes, internal restructuring • 33%
Yes, new leader appointed • 33%
No significant changes • 33%
Current leader remains • 25%
New leader from within Hezbollah • 25%
New leader backed by Iran • 25%
Leadership structure changes • 25%
New leader appointed • 25%
Current leadership remains • 25%
Internal power struggle • 25%
Hassan Nasrallah remains leader • 25%
Hezbollah disbands • 25%
New leader appointed • 25%
Current leader remains • 25%
Leadership structure changes • 25%
No change reported • 25%
Sheikh Naim Qassem replaced • 25%
Sheikh Naim Qassem remains • 25%
New leadership structure introduced • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Hassan Nasrallah remains in power • 25%
Hassan Nasrallah is replaced • 25%
New leadership structure emerges • 25%
Hezbollah disbands • 25%
Hassan Nasrallah remains leader • 25%
New leader appointed • 25%
Leadership remains unclear • 25%
Hezbollah leadership disbanded • 25%
Hassan Nasrallah remains leader • 25%
Hassan Nasrallah steps down • 25%
Hassan Nasrallah is replaced by internal coup • 25%
Hassan Nasrallah is killed or incapacitated • 25%
Hassan Nasrallah remains leader • 25%
New leader appointed from within Hezbollah • 25%
Hezbollah leadership structure changes significantly • 25%
Hezbollah dissolves or merges with another group • 25%