Loading...
Market
Will the U.S. trade deficit with Mexico decrease by 10% by end of 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official trade balance reports from U.S. government agencies
Story
Trump Plans Serious Tariffs on Canada and Mexico Over Border Security and Trade Deficit
Jan 7, 2025, 04:56 PM
Former President Donald Trump has announced plans to impose 'very serious' and 'substantial' tariffs on Canada and Mexico, citing issues with trade, border policies, and border security. Trump's statements suggest a significant shift in trade policy towards these neighboring countries, potentially impacting the existing trade agreements. He mentioned a massive trade deficit with Mexico and criticized Canada for being subsidized, claiming a figure of about $200 billion annually. Trump also hinted at the possibility of using economic force against Canada.
View original story
Similar markets
No change • 25%
Decrease • 25%
Other • 25%
Increase • 25%
Tariffs remain • 25%
Other • 25%
Tariffs lifted • 25%
Tariffs reduced • 25%
No significant developments • 25%
Tariffs imposed • 25%
Tariffs avoided through negotiation • 25%
Ongoing negotiations • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Increase in exports • 25%
Data not available • 25%
Decrease in exports • 25%
Focus on unrelated trade issues • 25%
Disagreement on GM corn trade • 25%
Agreement on GM corn trade • 25%
No significant outcome • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Major restructuring • 25%
No changes • 25%
Minor adjustments • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
Improved relations • 25%
Deteriorated relations • 25%
Significant trade conflict • 25%
Status quo • 25%
