Loading...
Market
What will be the outcome of Trump's tariffs on Canada by June 30, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Implemented with full effect • 25%
Partially implemented • 25%
Not implemented • 25%
Withdrawn • 25%
Official trade policy announcements from the U.S. government
Story
Trump Plans Serious Tariffs on Canada and Mexico Over Border Security and Trade Deficit
Jan 7, 2025, 04:56 PM
Former President Donald Trump has announced plans to impose 'very serious' and 'substantial' tariffs on Canada and Mexico, citing issues with trade, border policies, and border security. Trump's statements suggest a significant shift in trade policy towards these neighboring countries, potentially impacting the existing trade agreements. He mentioned a massive trade deficit with Mexico and criticized Canada for being subsidized, claiming a figure of about $200 billion annually. Trump also hinted at the possibility of using economic force against Canada.
View original story
Similar markets
Tariffs implemented • 25%
Tariffs withdrawn • 25%
Mutual agreement reached • 25%
Ongoing dispute • 25%
Tariffs postponed • 25%
Negotiations ongoing • 25%
Tariffs withdrawn • 25%
Tariffs imposed • 25%
Tariffs avoided with agreement • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Temporary tariff suspension • 25%
Tariffs imposed • 25%
Tariffs averted through negotiation • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Tariffs delayed • 25%
Tariffs imposed • 25%
Tariffs lifted • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
No change • 25%
Tariffs imposed • 25%
Other • 25%
Retaliatory tariffs • 25%
No action • 25%
Negotiations • 25%
Canada agrees to new terms • 25%
U.S. imposes tariff • 25%
Dispute unresolved • 25%
Mutual agreement reached • 25%
Retaliatory tariffs • 25%
Other • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
Tariff implemented • 25%
Ongoing negotiations • 25%
Retaliatory measures enacted • 25%
Tariff averted • 25%
