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What will be the state of U.S.-Russia diplomatic relations by the end of 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Relations improve • 25%
Relations deteriorate • 25%
Relations remain stable • 25%
Formal diplomatic talks initiated • 25%
Official statements from the U.S. State Department or Russian Foreign Ministry
Story
Russia Claims First Strike by U.S.-Made Missiles, Putin Threatens Nuclear Response
Nov 19, 2024, 01:11 PM
Russia has claimed that it shot down U.S.-made long-range missiles within its borders, following an attack by Ukraine. The Russian government has signaled its readiness to respond with nuclear weapons, heightening tensions in the region. This development comes as President Vladimir Putin has formally lowered the threshold for the use of nuclear weapons by Russia. According to CNBC, this marks the first strike on Russian territory using U.S.-supplied long-range weapons.
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Improved relations • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Worsened relations • 25%
Diplomatic breakdown • 25%
Improved relations • 25%
Status quo • 25%
Deteriorated relations • 25%
Severed relations • 25%
Improved Relations • 25%
Status Quo • 25%
Deteriorated Relations • 25%
Severed Diplomatic Ties • 25%
Improved relations • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Increased diplomatic tensions • 25%
Military conflict • 25%
Improved relations • 25%
Status quo • 25%
Further deterioration • 25%
Other • 25%
New treaty signed • 25%
Improved relations without formal treaty • 25%
No significant progress • 25%
Relations worsen • 25%
Normalization achieved • 25%
New agreement signed • 25%
Increased tensions • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Significantly improved • 25%
Moderately improved • 25%
No change • 25%
Deteriorated • 25%
Severely deteriorated • 25%
Moderately deteriorated • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Improved • 25%
Improved relations • 25%
Deteriorated relations • 25%
Status quo • 25%
Formal diplomatic talks initiated • 25%
Improved relations • 25%
Deteriorated relations • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
New diplomatic initiatives • 25%