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Will the U.S. officially adopt a containment strategy against Iran's nuclear program by December 31, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official policy statements from the U.S. Department of Defense or State Department
Story
Trump Nominates Elbridge Colby as Under Secretary of Defense for Policy, Emphasizing America First Approach to China and Iran
Dec 22, 2024, 10:34 PM
President Donald Trump has nominated Elbridge Colby to serve as the Under Secretary of Defense for Policy. This appointment has received widespread support from various political figures, who commend Colby's understanding of the importance of manufacturing to national defense and his advocacy for an America First foreign policy. Colby is recognized for his mission to prepare the U.S. Armed Forces for challenges posed by China in the Pacific and for opposing direct military action against Iran's nuclear program, favoring a policy of containment instead. His nomination is seen as a strategic move to enhance U.S. defense policy during critical times.
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No significant change • 25%
Military action • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
Increased sanctions • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Preventive airstrikes • 25%
Increased sanctions • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
No Action • 25%
Diplomatic Talks • 25%
New Sanctions • 25%
Airstrikes • 25%
Economic sanctions • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
Other • 25%
Military action • 25%
Continuation with increased transparency • 25%
Acceleration of nuclear development • 25%
Complete suspension of nuclear program • 25%
No change in current policy • 25%
Economic Sanctions • 25%
Diplomatic Efforts • 25%
Military Action • 25%
Other • 25%
No major policy change • 25%
Increased sanctions • 25%
Preemptive strikes • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
No Action • 25%
Diplomatic Negotiations • 25%
Military Strike • 25%
Economic Sanctions • 25%
Military action • 25%
Diplomatic efforts only • 25%
Economic sanctions • 25%
Transfer of military equipment to allies • 25%
Other policy change • 25%
Increase enrichment levels • 25%
Decrease enrichment levels • 25%
Maintain current levels • 25%