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What will be the primary method the US uses to address Iran's nuclear ambitions by December 31, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Economic Sanctions • 25%
Diplomatic Efforts • 25%
Military Action • 25%
Other • 25%
Official US government policy announcements or credible news reports on US actions
Story
Trump Weighs Preemptive Strikes on Iran with Possible US-Israel Operation
Dec 13, 2024, 07:59 AM
President-elect Donald Trump is considering a range of options to prevent Iran from acquiring nuclear weapons, including the possibility of preemptive airstrikes and a US-Israeli coordinated operation, according to a Friday morning report by the Wall Street Journal. Advisers to Trump are concerned that economic sanctions and diplomatic efforts are insufficient to contain Tehran's nuclear ambitions. The military-strike option is now under serious review by his transition team, potentially signaling a significant shift in U.S. policy towards Iran. Discussions also include the possibility of transferring bunker-buster bombs to Israel to facilitate potential strikes on Iran's nuclear facilities.
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Military action • 25%
Economic sanctions • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
Other • 25%
Military action • 25%
Increased sanctions • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Airstrikes • 25%
New Sanctions • 25%
Diplomatic Talks • 25%
No Action • 25%
Preventive airstrikes • 25%
Increased sanctions • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Impose new sanctions • 25%
Engage in direct negotiations • 25%
Increase military presence • 25%
Other • 25%
Military support to Israel • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
Economic sanctions • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Nuclear program • 25%
Oil exports • 25%
Support for proxies • 25%
Human rights • 25%
Economic Sanctions • 25%
Diplomatic Negotiations • 25%
Military Intervention • 25%
Cyber Operations • 25%
Military Strike • 25%
Economic Sanctions • 25%
Cyber Attack • 25%
Diplomatic Measures • 25%
Re-enter JCPOA • 25%
Impose new sanctions • 25%
Military action • 25%
No action • 25%
Diplomatic efforts only • 25%
Economic sanctions • 25%
Military action • 25%
Transfer of military equipment to allies • 25%
Military action • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
Economic sanctions • 25%
No action • 25%