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Will the U.S. identify the group responsible for the Lebanon pager explosions by Dec 31, 2024?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official statements from the U.S. State Department or other relevant U.S. government agencies
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U.S. Denies Involvement in Lebanon Pager Explosions, Eight Dead, 2,750 Injured
Sep 17, 2024, 06:07 PM
The U.S. State Department has confirmed that the United States was not involved in the pager explosions in Lebanon and was not aware of the incident in advance. The explosions, which occurred on Tuesday, resulted in at least eight deaths and approximately 2,750 injuries, involved pagers used by Hezbollah members. The U.S. is currently gathering information about the incident and has stated that it does not have an assessment on who might be behind the attack. The State Department emphasized the importance of a diplomatic resolution to the conflict between Israel and Hezbollah, according to Reuters.
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Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Hezbollah • 25%
Israel • 25%
Iran • 25%
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Hezbollah • 25%
ISIS • 25%
A foreign government • 25%
Other • 25%
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Taiwanese company responsible • 25%
Hungarian company responsible • 25%
Other country/company responsible • 25%
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Successful resolution • 25%
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Escalation of conflict • 25%
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Hezbollah • 25%
ISIS • 25%
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