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Will the Supreme Court's ruling on presidential immunity be challenged or reconsidered by end of 2024?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official Supreme Court records and announcements
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Supreme Court Grants Presidential Immunity in 6-3 Decision, Impacting Trump Cases
Jul 8, 2024, 04:26 PM
The U.S. Supreme Court has issued a landmark ruling granting broad immunity to presidents from criminal prosecution for official acts, with a 6-3 majority. The decision, written by Chief Justice John Roberts, has significant implications for former President Donald Trump, whose recent conviction in a New York hush money case is now in jeopardy. Legal experts are divided on the ruling, with some praising it as a necessary protection of executive powers, while others criticize it as a dangerous precedent that could shield abuses of power. Justice Clarence Thomas, in his concurrence, highlighted the historical basis for presidential immunity, referencing Justice Scalia’s dissent. Dissenting voices argue that the decision undermines the rule of law. The ruling also raises questions about the future of ongoing criminal cases against Trump, including those led by Special Counsel Jack Smith, whose appointment has been called into question.
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Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
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Further Expansion of Immunity • 25%
Reaffirmation of Current Ruling • 25%
Partial Rollback • 25%
Complete Rollback • 25%
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Legislation introduced to limit ruling • 25%
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Public protests • 25%
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Charges dismissed • 25%
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No change in charges • 25%
New charges added • 25%