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Challenge to Supreme Court's Presidential Immunity Decision by End of 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Supreme Court docket or official announcements regarding case reviews
Story
Jack Smith Drops Four Felony Charges Against President-Elect Trump in Election Interference Case
Nov 25, 2024, 06:34 PM
Special Counsel Jack Smith has filed a motion to dismiss all four federal felony charges against President-elect Donald Trump related to his alleged efforts to overturn the 2020 presidential election and the events of the January 6 Capitol attack. The decision follows the Supreme Court's granting of wide immunity to Trump and reflects the Department of Justice's longstanding policy that a sitting president cannot face federal prosecution. In the filing, Smith stated, "The Department’s position is that the Constitution requires that this case be dismissed before the defendant is inaugurated." The dismissal means the federal election interference case against Trump will not proceed to trial.
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Yes • 50%
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Yes • 50%
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New legislation proposed • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Investigation launched • 25%
Other • 25%
Yes • 50%
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Further Expansion of Immunity • 25%
Reaffirmation of Current Ruling • 25%
Partial Rollback • 25%
Complete Rollback • 25%
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Yes • 50%
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Immunity granted • 25%
Immunity denied • 25%
Case deferred • 25%
Other • 25%