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Will the RFA ONE rocket launch from SaxaVord achieve orbit in 2025?
3
UK•Civil Aviation Authority•Germany•Rocket Factory Augsburg•RFA•RFA ONE rocket•SaxaVord•Scotland•German
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official launch report or announcement from Rocket Factory Augsburg
Story
UK Grants Vertical Launch License to Rocket Factory Augsburg for RFA ONE Rocket from SaxaVord in 2025
Jan 16, 2025, 09:03 AM
The UK’s Civil Aviation Authority has granted a vertical launch license to Germany’s Rocket Factory Augsburg (RFA), enabling the company to conduct its inaugural test flight of the RFA ONE rocket in 2025. This marks a historic first for the UK, allowing commercial rocket launches from SaxaVord in Scotland. The license paves the way for RFA to become the first German company to launch a commercial orbital rocket, highlighting a significant development in the UK’s space industry.
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No • 50%
Yes • 50%
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Geostationary Transfer Orbit (GTO) • 25%
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Polar Orbit • 25%
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Yes • 50%
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Launch postponed beyond 2025 • 25%
Partial success (e.g., suborbital flight) • 25%
Successful orbit insertion • 25%
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Uchinoura Space Center • 25%
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Spaceport Kii • 25%
Tanegashima Space Center • 25%