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Will the number of migrants crossing the Darien Gap decrease by 50% by the end of 2024?
2
Panama•Darien Gap•South•Central America•Ministry of Public Security•Homeland Security•Alejandro Mayorkas
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Reports from Panama's Ministry of Public Security or international migration organizations
Story
Panama Installs Barbed and Razor-Wire Fencing Along Darien Gap to Block Migrants
Jul 9, 2024, 12:01 PM
Panama has installed barbed-wire and razor-wire fencing along the Darien Gap in an effort to block U.S.-bound migrants. The Darien Gap, a key migration route that links South and Central America, has seen increased security measures as part of Panama's efforts to control the flow of migrants, sparking panic among those trying to cross. The Ministry of Public Security announced that patrols at the national border service have begun to block the majority of border passages. U.S. Secretary of Homeland Security, Alejandro Mayorkas, flew to Panama to address the situation. The U.S. is also expected to pay for deportations as part of the crackdown on the migrant trail.
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Similar markets
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Less than 100,000 • 25%
100,000 - 300,000 • 25%
300,001 - 500,000 • 25%
More than 500,000 • 25%
Increased patrols • 25%
Physical barriers • 25%
International cooperation • 25%
Technology and surveillance • 25%
Chinese • 25%
Indian • 25%
Iranian • 25%
Other • 25%
Increased funding for migration management • 25%
Deployment of international peacekeepers • 25%
Implementation of stricter border controls • 25%
No significant action • 25%
China • 25%
India • 25%
Iran • 25%
Other • 25%