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Will the New Orleans attack be officially linked to a political motive by June 30, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official statements from law enforcement or investigative agencies
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New Orleans Attacker Shamsud Din Jabbar, a 2014 Democrat Donor to ActBlue, Confirmed As U.S. Military Veteran
Jan 1, 2025, 07:17 PM
Shamsud Din Jabbar has been identified as the suspect in the recent New Orleans attack. According to Federal Election Commission (FEC) records, Jabbar, a registered Democrat, made two donations to ActBlue, the fundraising platform for Democrats, in 2014 and another unspecified year. Reports confirm that he also served in the U.S. military. The revelations about Jabbar's political affiliations and donations have drawn attention in the aftermath of the incident.
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No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Accidental • 25%
Other • 25%
Personal Grievance • 25%
Terrorism • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Personal Grievance • 25%
Other • 25%
Terrorism • 25%
Mental Health Issues • 25%
Lone actor confirmed • 25%
Investigation inconclusive • 25%
Foreign involvement • 25%
Accomplices identified • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Lone actor • 25%
Identified foreign group • 25%
Identified domestic group • 25%
Unresolved • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Domestic Grievance • 25%
Other • 25%
Religious Extremism • 25%
Political Motivation • 25%