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Attribution of New Orleans Attack to International Group by June 30, 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official statements from the FBI or other relevant government agencies
Story
Terrorist Attack During New Year's Celebrations in New Orleans Kills 10, Injures Dozens
Jan 1, 2025, 04:16 PM
A terrorist attack struck New Orleans' Bourbon Street early this morning, killing ten people and injuring dozens more during New Year's celebrations. Described by officials as a horrific and deliberate act of pure evil, the attack has shocked the city and the nation. Law enforcement and first responders swiftly intervened, preventing further loss of life. The FBI is leading an investigation to bring all those involved to justice.
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Similar markets
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Another group • 25%
Islamic State (ISIS) • 25%
No claim • 25%
Al-Qaeda • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Al-Qaeda • 25%
None • 25%
Domestic Group • 25%
ISIS • 25%
ISIS • 25%
No claim • 25%
Domestic extremist group • 25%
Al-Qaeda • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Personal Grievance • 25%
Other • 25%
Accidental • 25%
Terrorism • 25%
Other/Unknown • 25%
Islamic Extremist Group • 25%
Domestic Terrorist Group • 25%
Lone Wolf Attacker • 25%