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Will the identities of the recovered bodies in Gaza be confirmed by September 30, 2024?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official statements from the Israeli Defense Forces (IDF) or other credible governmental sources.
Story
IDF Recovers Six Bodies in Gaza Amid Israel-Hamas Ceasefire Talks
Aug 31, 2024, 10:55 PM
The Israeli Defense Forces (IDF) have recovered six bodies from the Gaza Strip, which may include hostages. However, the identities of the bodies have not been confirmed, likely requiring DNA testing, and there is ongoing speculation about their status. President Joe Biden has acknowledged the situation, stating that the bodies' identities are still unknown and urging caution until they are identified. He also mentioned that negotiations between Israel and Hamas are progressing, with both sides close to reaching an agreement on a cease-fire. Biden remains optimistic about the potential for a deal, citing fundamental agreements reached by the parties involved.
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Yes • 50%
No • 50%
All Identified • 25%
Some Identified • 25%
None Identified • 25%
Status Unknown • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
All identified as hostages • 25%
Some identified as hostages • 25%
None identified as hostages • 25%
Identification inconclusive • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Bodies accepted with full identification • 25%
Bodies accepted without identification • 25%
Bodies not accepted • 25%
Partial acceptance • 25%
0 • 25%
1-2 • 25%
3-4 • 25%
5 or more • 25%
Sinwar confirmed dead • 25%
Sinwar not among the dead • 25%
Inconclusive results • 25%
No official confirmation • 25%