Loading...
Market
What will be the result of the DNA tests on bodies from the Gaza airstrike by November 10, 2024?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Sinwar confirmed dead • 25%
Sinwar not among the dead • 25%
Inconclusive results • 25%
No official confirmation • 25%
Official reports from Israeli authorities
Story
IDF Conducts DNA Tests, High Confidence Hamas Leader Yahya Sinwar Killed in Gaza Strike
Oct 17, 2024, 01:08 PM
Reports emerged on October 17, 2024, suggesting that Hamas leader Yahya Sinwar may have been killed in an Israeli airstrike in the Gaza Strip. The Israel Defense Forces (IDF) announced that they eliminated three terrorists during operations in Gaza and are investigating the possibility that one of them was Sinwar. Sinwar's body has reportedly been taken to Israel for DNA testing to confirm his identity. Israeli security agencies and officials expressed high confidence that Sinwar was among those killed, but official confirmation is pending. The IDF stated that there were no signs of hostages in the vicinity of the strike. Hamas has not yet issued a statement regarding these reports. U.S. officials have been informed about the developments, according to the New York Times.
View original story
Similar markets
All identified as hostages • 25%
Some identified as hostages • 25%
None identified as hostages • 25%
Identification inconclusive • 25%
Confirmed as Yahya Sinwar • 25%
Not Yahya Sinwar • 25%
Inconclusive results • 25%
No results released • 25%
Confirmed as Yahya Sinwar • 25%
Not Yahya Sinwar • 25%
Inconclusive results • 25%
No official statement • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Bodies accepted with full identification • 25%
Bodies accepted without identification • 25%
Bodies not accepted • 25%
Partial acceptance • 25%
All five confirmed • 25%
4 confirmed, 1 inconclusive • 25%
3 confirmed, 2 inconclusive • 25%
Less than 3 confirmed • 25%
All six bodies identified as hostages • 25%
Some bodies identified as hostages • 25%
None of the bodies identified as hostages • 25%
Identities remain unknown • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Confirmed as Yahya Sinwar • 25%
Not Yahya Sinwar • 25%
Inconclusive Results • 25%
No Further Tests Conducted • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
All Identified • 25%
Some Identified • 25%
None Identified • 25%
Status Unknown • 25%