Loading...
Market
Will the 'ghost gun' be a significant factor in Luigi Mangione's trial outcome by end of 2025?
3
Luigi Mangione•Ivy League•Pennsylvania•Brian Thompson•UnitedHealthcare•Manhattan•Mangione•Alvin Bragg•Reddit•San Francisco
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Court verdicts and legal analysis from reputable news outlets
Story
Ivy League Graduate Arrested for UnitedHealthcare CEO's Murder Using Ghost Gun
Dec 12, 2024, 09:29 AM
Luigi Mangione, a 26-year-old Ivy League graduate, has been arrested in Pennsylvania and is suspected of killing Brian Thompson, the CEO of UnitedHealthcare, in Manhattan. Mangione allegedly used a 'ghost gun'—an untraceable firearm made using 3D printing—in the targeted shooting. Police report that the gun found on Mangione matches shell casings recovered at the scene, and his fingerprints have been linked to evidence, including a water bottle found near the crime scene. Authorities are investigating additional charges against him, according to Manhattan District Attorney Alvin Bragg. Mangione had reportedly detailed his plans in a notebook, emphasizing precision and avoiding risk to innocents. His defense attorney stated the need to evaluate the veracity and precision of the evidence against his client. Mangione had a history of chronic back pain and had participated in online discussions about his health issues on Reddit. His mother had filed a missing person's report for him in San Francisco in November.
View original story
Similar markets
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No results released • 25%
Confirmed as murder weapon • 25%
Inconclusive results • 25%
Not confirmed as murder weapon • 25%
No significant public response • 25%
Other • 25%
Increased public concern • 25%
Increased support for 3D-printing rights • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Guilty of first-degree murder • 25%
Not guilty • 25%
Mistrial • 25%
Guilty of lesser charges • 25%
Guilty of a lesser charge • 25%
Guilty of murder • 25%
Manslaughter conviction • 25%
Guilty of second-degree murder • 25%
Case dismissed • 25%
Not Guilty • 33%
Convicted of lesser charge • 25%
Acquitted • 25%
Guilty • 33%
Convicted of murder • 25%
Convicted of a lesser charge • 25%
Convicted of second-degree murder as an act of terrorism • 25%
Acquitted of all charges • 25%
Convicted of second-degree murder • 25%
Convicted • 25%
Convicted of first-degree murder in furtherance of terrorism • 25%
Mistrial or other outcome • 25%
Guilty of lesser charge • 25%
Mistrial • 25%
Convicted of first-degree murder • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Convicted of lesser charges • 25%
Not guilty • 25%
Mistrial declared • 25%
Acquitted • 25%
Convicted of lesser charge • 25%
Convicted of first-degree murder • 25%
Mistrial • 25%
Not guilty • 25%
Guilty of some charges • 25%
Guilty of all charges • 25%
Acquitted of all murder charges • 25%
Convicted of first-degree murder • 25%
Convicted of second-degree murder • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Mistrial declared • 25%
Guilty of lesser charge • 25%
Not guilty • 25%
Guilty of first-degree murder • 25%
Guilty of murder • 25%
Not guilty of murder • 25%
Plea deal reached • 25%