Loading...
Market
What will be the outcome of Luigi Mangione's trial by end of 2025?
3
Manhattan•Luigi Mangione•UnitedHealthcare•Brian Thompson•Alvin Bragg•Mangione•Thompson•Midtown Manhattan•Pennsylvania•New York
Resolution / Starting Odds
Guilty of murder • 25%
Manslaughter conviction • 25%
Convicted of murder • 25%
Convicted of lesser charge • 25%
Acquitted • 25%
Guilty • 33%
Not Guilty • 33%
Convicted of second-degree murder • 25%
Convicted of a lesser charge • 25%
Guilty of second-degree murder • 25%
Guilty of a lesser charge • 25%
Case dismissed • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Guilty of lesser charge • 25%
Not guilty • 25%
Mistrial • 25%
Convicted of first-degree murder in furtherance of terrorism • 25%
Convicted of second-degree murder as an act of terrorism • 25%
Acquitted of all charges • 25%
Convicted of first-degree murder • 25%
Convicted of lesser charges • 25%
Court verdict and sentencing announcements
Story
Grand Jury Indicts Luigi Mangione on 11 Counts, Including Terrorism-Related Murder, in CEO Brian Thompson's Killing
Dec 17, 2024, 09:22 PM
A Manhattan grand jury has indicted 26-year-old Luigi Mangione on an 11-count indictment, including first-degree murder and second-degree murder as an act of terrorism, for the fatal shooting of UnitedHealthcare CEO Brian Thompson earlier this month. The indictment, announced by Manhattan District Attorney Alvin Bragg on Tuesday, includes seven counts of criminal possession of a weapon. Mangione is accused of shooting Thompson outside a Midtown Manhattan hotel on December 4. He was arrested on December 9 in Pennsylvania after a five-day manhunt and will be extradited to New York to face charges. Prosecutors allege that the murder was a premeditated act intended to intimidate or coerce a civilian population under New York's anti-terrorism laws. If convicted, Mangione faces life in prison without the possibility of parole.
View original story
Similar markets
Guilty of murder • 25%
Not guilty of murder • 25%
Mistrial declared • 25%
Plea deal reached • 25%
Guilty • 25%
Not Guilty • 25%
Mistrial • 25%
Other • 25%
Guilty of first-degree murder • 25%
Guilty of lesser charges • 25%
Not guilty • 25%
Mistrial • 25%
Not guilty of murder • 25%
Mistrial or hung jury • 25%
Guilty of second-degree murder • 25%
Guilty of a lesser charge • 25%
Not guilty • 25%
Guilty of lesser charge • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Conviction • 25%
Acquittal • 25%
Mistrial • 25%
Plea Deal • 25%
Guilty • 25%
Not Guilty • 25%
Other • 25%
Guilty of murder • 25%
Mistrial declared • 25%
Other verdict • 25%
Convicted of murder • 25%
Convicted of a lesser charge • 25%
Acquitted • 25%
Case dismissed • 25%
Death Penalty • 25%
Life Imprisonment • 25%
Other Verdict • 25%
Convicted of second-degree murder • 25%
Convicted of a lesser charge • 25%
Acquitted • 25%
Guilty of second-degree murder • 25%
Guilty of a lesser charge • 25%
Not guilty • 25%
Mistrial • 25%
Convicted of first-degree murder • 25%
Convicted of second-degree murder • 25%
Acquitted of all murder charges • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Convicted of first-degree murder • 25%
Convicted of lesser charges • 25%
Acquitted • 25%
Mistrial or other • 25%
Guilty • 25%
Not Guilty • 25%
Mistrial • 25%
Case Dismissed • 25%
First-degree murder • 25%
Second-degree murder • 25%
Other charges • 25%
Not convicted • 25%
Plea deal for reduced charges • 25%
Plea deal for full charges • 25%
No plea deal reached • 25%
Other plea outcome • 25%
Guilty • 25%
Not Guilty • 25%
Mistrial • 25%
Other • 25%