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Will the EU conclude TikTok's investigation by June 30, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official statement from the European Commission
Story
EU Probes TikTok for Russian Interference in Romania's Annulled Election
Dec 17, 2024, 12:43 PM
The European Union has launched a formal investigation into TikTok over its suspected role in foreign interference in Romania's annulled presidential election. The European Commission suspects that TikTok breached the Digital Services Act by failing to adequately mitigate risks linked to election integrity. This includes allegations that the platform did not prevent foreign actors, potentially from Russia, from influencing the election outcome. The investigation follows the surprising first-round victory of independent candidate Georgescu, who is described as pro-Russia and anti-NATO/EU. Allegations also include manipulation of TikTok's algorithms and undisclosed paid promotions by influencers. If found in violation, TikTok could face significant fines, potentially up to 6% of its global turnover.
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Yes • 50%
No • 50%
No issues found • 25%
Minor compliance issues • 25%
Major compliance issues • 25%
Evidence of interference • 25%
TikTok fined • 25%
TikTok cleared of wrongdoing • 25%
TikTok required to make policy changes • 25%
Investigation inconclusive • 25%
No consequences • 25%
Fines imposed • 25%
Operational restrictions • 25%
Ban in EU • 25%
No Action Taken • 25%
Warning Issued • 25%
Fines Imposed • 25%
Other Outcome • 25%
No breach found • 25%
Minor breach with warning • 25%
Major breach with penalties • 25%
Investigation inconclusive • 25%
TikTok fined • 25%
TikTok receives warning • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Widespread condemnation • 25%
Calls for further investigation • 25%
Support for TikTok's actions • 25%
No significant international response • 25%
Effective measures implemented • 25%
Partially effective measures • 25%
Ineffective measures • 25%
Non-compliance with DSA • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Fines imposed • 25%
Sanctions imposed • 25%
Other measures • 25%