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What will be the outcome of the EU's investigation into TikTok by the end of 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
No Action Taken • 25%
Warning Issued • 25%
Fines Imposed • 25%
Other Outcome • 25%
European Union official announcements and reports
Story
TikTok Appeals U.S. Ban to Supreme Court Amid Global Scrutiny and EU Probe
Dec 22, 2024, 06:49 AM
TikTok faces an imminent ban in the United States, set to take effect on January 19, unless its parent company ByteDance divests from its U.S. operations. The platform, which boasts one billion users globally, has been embroiled in controversies worldwide, including allegations of espionage in the U.S. and suspected foreign interference in Romania's presidential election. In response to the potential ban, TikTok has appealed to the U.S. Supreme Court, arguing that the ban represents a significant infringement on free speech. The case is set to be heard on January 10. Meanwhile, the European Union has initiated an investigation into TikTok's recommendation systems and political content management, with potential fines up to 6% of its annual turnover if violations are found. The platform's future remains uncertain as it navigates these legal and regulatory challenges.
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No violation found • 25%
Violation found but no fine • 25%
Violation found with fine • 25%
Investigation inconclusive • 25%
TikTok fined • 25%
TikTok cleared of wrongdoing • 25%
TikTok required to make policy changes • 25%
Investigation inconclusive • 25%
No issues found • 25%
Minor compliance issues • 25%
Major compliance issues • 25%
Evidence of interference • 25%
TikTok fined • 25%
TikTok receives warning • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
No breach found • 25%
Minor breach with warning • 25%
Major breach with penalties • 25%
Investigation inconclusive • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Fines imposed • 25%
Sanctions imposed • 25%
Other measures • 25%
No changes • 25%
Operational restrictions • 25%
Fines imposed • 25%
Ban from EU market • 25%
No consequences • 25%
Fines imposed • 25%
Operational restrictions • 25%
Ban in EU • 25%
Widespread condemnation • 25%
Calls for further investigation • 25%
Support for TikTok's actions • 25%
No significant international response • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Effective measures implemented • 25%
Partially effective measures • 25%
Ineffective measures • 25%
Non-compliance with DSA • 25%